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RC

Ready Capital Corp (RC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • GAAP EPS was $0.47, driven by a $102.5M bargain purchase gain from the UDF IV acquisition, while distributable EPS was a loss of $(0.09); book value per share held flat at $10.61 .
  • Management reiterated a defensive, late‑cycle posture: accelerated liquidation of non‑core CRE assets, collapse of static CLOs to raise liquidity, and reinvestment into core multifamily to rebuild net interest margin; dividend expected to remain at $0.125 until earnings improve .
  • SBL originations were $387M (including $343M SBA 7(a)), with gain‑on‑sale premiums around 10%; core CRE levered yield of ~10% and cash yield ~6.7% underpin expected NIM recovery post reinvestment .
  • Street consensus (SPGI) for Q1 2025 “Primary EPS” was +$0.12*, while “actual” was −$0.09*; “Revenue” estimate $207.4M* vs “actual” $42.0M*—a significant miss on these SPGI-defined metrics. Note: GAAP EPS of $0.47 was not the Street “Primary EPS” basis here* [Values retrieved from S&P Global].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Book value per share stabilized QoQ at $10.61; accretion from share repurchases (+$0.11) and UDF IV merger (+$0.14) offset dividend shortfall: “book value per share quarter‑over‑quarter was flat at $10.61 per share” .
  • Non‑core bridge loan liquidation exceeded targets (2x): $51M liquidated at 102% of mark, generating $28M liquidity; plan to reduce non‑core portfolio to ~$270M in Q2 and ~$210M by YE 2025 .
  • Closed $220M senior secured notes (9.375% due 2028) and subsequently upsized by $50M, extending maturities and enhancing liquidity; collapsed three CRE CLOs generating $78M liquidity .

Management quotes:

  • “Despite this challenging macroeconomic environment, the Company continues to take decisive actions to reset the balance sheet and restore profitability.”
  • “We believe the plan will be executed in 2025 with accretion in 2026.”

What Went Wrong

  • Distributable EPS loss of $(0.09) as net interest income fell to $14.6M; movement of non‑core assets to non‑accrual produced cash yield of 1.3% and realized losses of $20.1M on asset sales (reserved previously) .
  • Core portfolio delinquency increased: 60+ day DQ rose to 4.1% (from 2.0% in Q4’24); non‑accrual ticked up to 3.7% in core .
  • Continued pressure in static CLOs: three deals currently failing interest coverage tests; leverage shifted slightly from non‑recourse to recourse as warehouse advance rates replaced lower CLO advance rates .

Financial Results

Income Statement Snapshot and EPS

Metric ($USD Millions unless noted)Q1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Interest Income$232.4 $204.0 $155.0
Interest Expense$(183.8) $(153.9) $(140.5)
Net Interest Income (pre recovery/provision)$48.5 $50.1 $14.5
Recovery/(Provision) of Loan Losses$26.5 $(285.0) $109.6
Net Interest Income (post recovery/provision)$75.1 $(235.0) $124.1
Total Non‑Interest Income/(Expense)$(102.6) $27.0 $25.7
Total Non‑Interest Expense$(78.3) $(106.9) $(72.6)
Income (Loss) Before Taxes$(105.8) $(314.8) $77.2
Net Income (Loss)$(74.2) $(314.8) $82.0
GAAP EPS – Basic$(0.44) $(1.80) $0.47
GAAP EPS – Diluted$(0.44) $(1.80) $0.46
Distributable EPS – Basic/Diluted$0.29 $(0.03) $(0.09)

Notes: Bargain purchase gain of $102.5M recognized in Q1 2025 (UDF IV) . Dividend declared $0.125 in Q1 .

Segment Breakdown (Q1 2025)

Segment ($USD Thousands)Interest IncomeInterest ExpenseNet Interest Income pre Recovery/ProvisionRecovery/(Provision)Net Interest Income post Recovery/ProvisionNon‑Interest Income/(Loss)Non‑Interest ExpenseIncome Before TaxesTotal Assets
LMM Commercial Real Estate$124,973 $(120,354) $4,619 $117,941 $122,560 $(114,475) $(27,763) $(19,678) $7,897,270
Small Business Lending$29,994 $(20,112) $9,882 $(8,373) $1,509 $36,449 $(30,060) $7,898 $1,510,635
Corporate‑Other$103,762 $(14,779) $88,983 $382,764
Consolidated$154,967 $(140,466) $14,501 $109,568 $124,069 $25,736 $(72,602) $77,203 $9,790,669

KPIs and Portfolio Metrics

KPIQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
LMM CRE Originations ($M)$98.1 $217.3 $79.0
SBL Originations ($M)$200.4 $343.3 $387.0 (incl. $343M SBA 7(a))
Core CRE 60+ DQ (%)2.0% 2.0% 4.1%
Book Value per Share ($)$13.44 $10.61 $10.61
Shares Repurchased (M)5.8 at $7.35 (Q4 commentary) 3.4 at $5.02
Senior Secured Notes Issued ($M)$220 (Dec/Mar) $220; +$50 subsequent
CLOs Collapsed (Liquidity)Plan initiated Three collapsed; $78M liquidity
Core CRE Levered Yield / Cash Yield10.8% / — ~10.2% / ~6.7%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dividend per common shareNear term (2025)Cut to $0.125 in Q4’24; intent to grow over time Expected to remain at current $0.125 until earnings warrant an increase Maintained
Non‑Core CRE PortfolioQ2 2025; YE 2025Liquidation plan underway (Q4) Reduce to ~$270M in Q2; ~$210M by YE 2025 Accelerated execution
CLO Liability MgmtQ2/Q3 2025Collapse callable static CLOs; reissue Expect to collapse two additional deals by late Q2/early Q3 Maintained/Executing
SBA VolumeFY 2025Platform capacity $1.5B–$2.0B Expect below $1.5B; near‑term $1.0–$1.2B; premiums ~10% Lower near term volumes; premiums maintained
Freddie Mac SBL PipelineQ2 2025Muted in Q1 due to market process tightening ~$40–$45M pipeline in Q2 Improved
Corporate Debt MaturitiesThrough 2026$650M total; plan to refinance/extend Continued focus on extending maturities; markets receptive; secured options if needed Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prior‑2)Q4 2024 (Prior‑1)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
Macro/Tariffs/RecessionStabilization in CRE; tailwinds from rate cuts Late‑cycle pressures; aggressive reserving “Tariff implementations, declining consumer confidence and increased recession expectations provide headwinds” Macro headwinds, sector bifurcation
Multifamily FundamentalsStabilizing rents/values; delinquencies plateau Core metrics supportive of NIM recovery Multifamily relatively resilient; rents up ~1% QoQ; core DQ 60+ at 4.1% Stabilizing assets, higher DQs
Non‑Core Liquidation72% of repositioning complete; ongoing sales Aggressive liquidation planned Exceeded Q1 targets; 2x plan; roadmap to ~$270M Q2, ~$210M YE Accelerating execution
Portland Mixed‑Use (Ritz)Completed construction; strategy pivot to ownership and serial exit Marked down; earnings drag noted Levered; stabilize hotel/office first; condos 2–3 year sell‑out Sequential stabilization, long tail
SBA Policy/VolumesRecord growth; dual‑channel strategy Continued growth; FY25 $1.5B target Near‑term moderation; $1.0–$1.2B; premiums ~10% Near‑term dip, structurally constructive
CLO/Capital MarketsPlan to call/reissue; reduce costs Collapse callable static CLOs Collapsed three deals; more in Q2/Q3; warehouse shift improves yield Progressing
Share Repurchases & LiquidityConsider buybacks; strong cash $150M program; 5.8M shares bought in Q4 3.4M shares in Q1; ongoing evaluation Ongoing
DividendCovered ex‑losses; outlook to cover ~1.5x Cut to $0.125; intent to grow Expected to remain at $0.125 near term Maintained near term

Management Commentary

  • “Book value per share quarter‑over‑quarter was flat at $10.61 per share… we benefited this quarter from an $0.11 per share increase from repurchase of 3.4 million shares and $0.14 per share from closing of the UDF merger.”
  • “We surpassed first quarter liquidation targets by close to 2x… liquidated $51 million at a 102% premium to our mark, generating $28 million of liquidity.”
  • “Absent further material deterioration… we expect our dividend to remain at its current level until the earnings profile warrants an increase.”
  • “Net interest income declined to $14.6 million… movement of non‑core assets to nonaccrual generated a cash yield of 1.3%… Realized losses… $20.1 million, all adequately reserved previously.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Non‑core exits on track despite April volatility; multiple PSAs in progress; pricing/timeline intact .
  • Near‑term earnings to resemble Q1; improvement to begin after reinvestment of equity from liquidations; OpEx right‑sizing a lever; debt refi costs a headwind .
  • CLO collapses increase advance rates and liquidity; slight leverage uptick; NOI pressures and portfolio modifications drove interest coverage test failures .
  • Portland asset to remain levered; sequential exit plan: hotel/office first, condos over 2–3 years; basis supports recoveries .
  • SBA volumes expected $1.0–$1.2B near term; gain‑on‑sale premiums around ~10%; policy changes constructive; warehouse approvals pending .
  • Debt markets receptive; balanced unsecured/secured refi strategy; ample unencumbered collateral .

Estimates Context

MetricQ4 2024 Estimate*Q4 2024 Actual*Q1 2025 Estimate*Q1 2025 Actual*
Primary EPS Consensus Mean*$0.2102*$(0.03)*$0.1221*$(0.09)*
Revenue Consensus Mean* ($USD)$228.64M*$(201.16)M*$207.43M*$42.03M*

Additional context:

  • Target Price Consensus Mean*: $3.69 (FY 2024/2025) with 4 estimates [GetEstimates].
  • FY 2025 EPS Normalized Consensus Mean*: −$0.96; FY 2025 Revenue Consensus Mean*: $513.5M [GetEstimates].

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Implication: RC significantly missed SPGI’s “Primary EPS” and “Revenue” consensus in Q1 2025 on this definition, while GAAP EPS benefited from one‑time bargain purchase gains .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near‑term earnings likely remain subdued until equity from non‑core liquidations is redeployed into high‑yield core CRE; watch Q2 liquidation progress and reinvestment cadence as the primary NIM catalyst .
  • Dividend at $0.125 appears supported near term; management intends to hold at this level until earnings improve—monitor asset sale execution and SBA volumes for inflection .
  • Liquidity actions (CLO collapses, secured notes) are de‑risking the liability stack; next CLO collapses (late Q2/early Q3) and corporate refi timeline are key events .
  • Core multifamily fundamentals are stabilizing, but core 60+ DQ increased to 4.1%; credit migration and modification efficacy will influence future NIM recovery .
  • SBL remains a structural earnings lever with ~10% premiums; near‑term volume moderation likely, but platform capacity and policy tailwinds support medium‑term growth .
  • UDF IV integration boosted equity and GAAP EPS via bargain purchase; ongoing liquidity generation and credit performance from the portfolio will determine sustained contribution .
  • Trading setup: execution on asset sales, CLO/liability milestones, and SBA volume updates are near‑term catalysts; tone remains constructive but execution‑dependent amid macro volatility .

Appendix: Additional Balance Sheet and ROE

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025
Total Assets ($USD M)$10,141.9 $9,976.5
Total Liabilities ($USD M)$8,197.8 $7,926.9
Total Equity ($USD M)$1,935.7 $2,041.2
GAAP ROE (%)−62.4% 18.2%
Distributable ROE (%)−0.3% −3.1%

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